NFL · 2026
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Week 10

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Market-anchored quantitative predictions · locked before kickoff

Week Progress0 of 0 final
0 Final0 In Progress0 Upcoming
Predictions Lockedv2.0.0 · 50,000 simulations
MODEL PERFORMANCE

How our picks performed

Win rates exclude pushes · hypothetical $10 per bet

Week 2 uses saved preview selections rather than official locked picks. Results are illustrative; see calculation details for historical pricing assumptions.

Historical coverage: No archived predictions for Week 1, 9, 10; excluded from calculations.

Last Week

No graded prior week

Season to Date

2026 season
How are these calculated?

Win % is the historical accuracy of graded model selections: wins divided by wins plus losses, displayed to one decimal place. Pushes and pending bets are excluded. Dollar profit/loss is hypothetical, assuming $10 staked on each selection and saved sportsbook odds where available. Spread and total bets without saved prices use estimated −110 odds; when any selected moneyline price is missing, the dollar result shows N/A rather than inventing a return. Win rate can be positive while the betting strategy loses money.

Week 2 is evaluated using a saved September 18 preview, not verified original locked picks; some games may already have started when that file was created. VegasInsider prices are retrospective reference odds, and unmatched spread and total prices use estimated −110. These returns are hypothetical and should not be interpreted as a live pregame track record.

Some older weeks have only summary results. Those weeks contribute to verified win/loss percentages, but profit is N/A if the individual betting odds are unavailable. A missing weekly Top 3 list is not reconstructed; only archived selections count toward Top 3. Weeks without any archived results are excluded, and the bet-by-bet drilldown displays only saved individual picks.

All Bets includes one moneyline, one spread and one over/under selection per game. Best / Game uses the highest-confidence selection in each game. Top 3 shows the three highest-confidence predictions from each week, regardless of market. Moneyline, Spread and Over/Under show the strongest selection in their respective markets per game. Season to Date totals the available archived weeks. These are modeled hypothetical returns, not actual betting winnings. The toggle changes the primary number, while both measures remain visible.

HISTORICAL SPORTSBOOK ODDSVegasInsider · 2026 Weeks 1–348 archived game lines · spreads, totals, and moneylines

Historical reference quotes from VegasInsider, collected October 13, 2026. These prices were viewed after kickoff and are not verified as the prices available when the model locked its predictions. They do not replace saved betting lines or create missing predictions for Weeks 1–2. Model Performance profit/loss remains based on saved pregame selections.

MatchupSpread & priceOver / UnderMoneyline
GB / ATLGB -4.5 (-112)ATL +4.5 (-108)Over 43.5 (-105)Under 43.5 (-115)GB -238ATL +195
DET / NYJDET -7 (-115)NYJ +7 (-105)Over 49.5 (-110)Under 49.5 (-110)DET -355NYJ +280
IND / HOUIND +1.5 (-108)HOU -1.5 (-112)Over 42.5 (-110)Under 42.5 (-110)IND +100HOU -120
CLE / CARCLE +2.5 (-112)CAR -2.5 (-108)Over 41.5 (-115)Under 41.5 (-105)CLE +114CAR -135
MIA / KCMIA +10 (-112)KC -10 (-108)Over 45.5 (-105)Under 45.5 (-115)MIA +440KC -600
WSH / SEAWSH +8.5 (-115)SEA -8.5 (-105)Over 40.5 (-108)Under 40.5 (-112)WSH +320SEA -410
JAX / NEJAX -3 (-102)NE +3 (-118)Over 46.5 (-115)Under 46.5 (-105)JAX -155NE +130
BUF / LACBUF -7 (-112)LAC +7 (-108)Over 50.5 (-105)Under 50.5 (-115)BUF -325LAC +260
PIT / CINPIT +3.5 (-118)CIN -3.5 (-102)Over 42.5 (-112)Under 42.5 (-108)PIT +150CIN -180
NYG / TENNYG -2.5 (-110)TEN +2.5 (-110)Over 37.5 (-112)Under 37.5 (-108)NYG -130TEN +110
TB / MINTB -1.5 (-102)MIN +1.5 (-118)Over 42.5 (-112)Under 42.5 (-108)TB -115MIN -105
SF / ARISF -7.5 (-110)ARI +7.5 (-110)Over 48.5 (-105)Under 48.5 (-115)SF -410ARI +310
DAL / BALDAL +3 (-102)BAL -3 (-118)Over 54.5 (-108)Under 54.5 (-112)DAL +140BAL -166
NO / LVNO -4.5 (-105)LV +4.5 (-115)Over 43.5 (-125)Under 43.5 (+105)NO -225LV +180
DEN / LARDEN -1.5 (-108)LAR +1.5 (-112)Over 44.5 (-108)Under 44.5 (-112)DEN -118LAR -102
CHI / PHICHI +3 (-105)PHI -3 (-115)Over 42.5 (-108)Under 42.5 (-112)CHI +154PHI -185

View Week 2–3 current-model historical replays ↗

Table team order follows VegasInsider, not home/away order. Lines from a later sportsbook snapshot can differ from locked DraftKings lines; do not use a mismatched spread or total to price a historical bet.

THIS WEEK’S TOP PICKS

Highest-probability model predictions

Week 10 · Ranked by model confidence
Top 3 Winner PicksMost likely game winners
No predictions available
Top 3 Point Spread PicksMost likely to cover the point spread
No predictions available
Top 3 Over / Under PicksHighest probability total-points predictions
No predictions available
WEEKLY BOARD

14 Games · 0 Locked Predictions

HighestSecondThird
ThuThu, Nov 12, 7:15 PM CST
WSH1-4-1@NYG4-2-1
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 8:30 AM CST
NE4-3-0@DET4-2-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
KC5-1-0@ATL3-4-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
HOU2-5-0@CLE5-2-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
MIN6-0-0@GB4-3-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
JAX4-2-0@TEN1-6-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
MIA1-5-0@IND2-5-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
CAR3-3-0@NO2-5-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 12:00 PM CST
BUF5-1-0@NYJ2-5-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 3:05 PM CST
SEA4-3-0@LV3-4-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 3:05 PM CST
LAR3-4-0@ARI2-5-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 3:25 PM CST
SF6-1-0@DAL3-4-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

SunSun, Nov 15, 7:20 PM CST
PIT5-2-0@CIN4-2-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

MonMon, Nov 16, 7:15 PM CST
LAC0-6-0@BAL4-3-0
WIN PROBABILITY—
FINAL SCORE0–0
POINT SPREAD—
OVER / UNDER—
TOP PICK——

Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.

NFL Quant Model v2.0.0Predictions are generated and locked before the weekly slate. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. Model edge compares the model with the captured sportsbook market.