How our picks performed
Win rates exclude pushes · hypothetical $10 per bet
Week 2 uses saved preview selections rather than official locked picks. Results are illustrative; see calculation details for historical pricing assumptions.
Historical coverage: No archived predictions for Week 1, 9; excluded from calculations.
Last Week
No graded prior weekSeason to Date
2026 seasonHow are these calculated?
Win % is the historical accuracy of graded model selections: wins divided by wins plus losses, displayed to one decimal place. Pushes and pending bets are excluded. Dollar profit/loss is hypothetical, assuming $10 staked on each selection and saved sportsbook odds where available. Spread and total bets without saved prices use estimated −110 odds; when any selected moneyline price is missing, the dollar result shows N/A rather than inventing a return. Win rate can be positive while the betting strategy loses money.
Week 2 is evaluated using a saved September 18 preview, not verified original locked picks; some games may already have started when that file was created. VegasInsider prices are retrospective reference odds, and unmatched spread and total prices use estimated −110. These returns are hypothetical and should not be interpreted as a live pregame track record.
Some older weeks have only summary results. Those weeks contribute to verified win/loss percentages, but profit is N/A if the individual betting odds are unavailable. A missing weekly Top 3 list is not reconstructed; only archived selections count toward Top 3. Weeks without any archived results are excluded, and the bet-by-bet drilldown displays only saved individual picks.
All Bets includes one moneyline, one spread and one over/under selection per game. Best / Game uses the highest-confidence selection in each game. Top 3 shows the three highest-confidence predictions from each week, regardless of market. Moneyline, Spread and Over/Under show the strongest selection in their respective markets per game. Season to Date totals the available archived weeks. These are modeled hypothetical returns, not actual betting winnings. The toggle changes the primary number, while both measures remain visible.
HISTORICAL SPORTSBOOK ODDSVegasInsider · 2026 Weeks 1–348 archived game lines · spreads, totals, and moneylines
Historical reference quotes from VegasInsider, collected October 13, 2026. These prices were viewed after kickoff and are not verified as the prices available when the model locked its predictions. They do not replace saved betting lines or create missing predictions for Weeks 1–2. Model Performance profit/loss remains based on saved pregame selections.
| Matchup | Spread & price | Over / Under | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB / ATL | GB -4.5 (-112)ATL +4.5 (-108) | Over 43.5 (-105)Under 43.5 (-115) | GB -238ATL +195 |
| DET / NYJ | DET -7 (-115)NYJ +7 (-105) | Over 49.5 (-110)Under 49.5 (-110) | DET -355NYJ +280 |
| IND / HOU | IND +1.5 (-108)HOU -1.5 (-112) | Over 42.5 (-110)Under 42.5 (-110) | IND +100HOU -120 |
| CLE / CAR | CLE +2.5 (-112)CAR -2.5 (-108) | Over 41.5 (-115)Under 41.5 (-105) | CLE +114CAR -135 |
| MIA / KC | MIA +10 (-112)KC -10 (-108) | Over 45.5 (-105)Under 45.5 (-115) | MIA +440KC -600 |
| WSH / SEA | WSH +8.5 (-115)SEA -8.5 (-105) | Over 40.5 (-108)Under 40.5 (-112) | WSH +320SEA -410 |
| JAX / NE | JAX -3 (-102)NE +3 (-118) | Over 46.5 (-115)Under 46.5 (-105) | JAX -155NE +130 |
| BUF / LAC | BUF -7 (-112)LAC +7 (-108) | Over 50.5 (-105)Under 50.5 (-115) | BUF -325LAC +260 |
| PIT / CIN | PIT +3.5 (-118)CIN -3.5 (-102) | Over 42.5 (-112)Under 42.5 (-108) | PIT +150CIN -180 |
| NYG / TEN | NYG -2.5 (-110)TEN +2.5 (-110) | Over 37.5 (-112)Under 37.5 (-108) | NYG -130TEN +110 |
| TB / MIN | TB -1.5 (-102)MIN +1.5 (-118) | Over 42.5 (-112)Under 42.5 (-108) | TB -115MIN -105 |
| SF / ARI | SF -7.5 (-110)ARI +7.5 (-110) | Over 48.5 (-105)Under 48.5 (-115) | SF -410ARI +310 |
| DAL / BAL | DAL +3 (-102)BAL -3 (-118) | Over 54.5 (-108)Under 54.5 (-112) | DAL +140BAL -166 |
| NO / LV | NO -4.5 (-105)LV +4.5 (-115) | Over 43.5 (-125)Under 43.5 (+105) | NO -225LV +180 |
| DEN / LAR | DEN -1.5 (-108)LAR +1.5 (-112) | Over 44.5 (-108)Under 44.5 (-112) | DEN -118LAR -102 |
| CHI / PHI | CHI +3 (-105)PHI -3 (-115) | Over 42.5 (-108)Under 42.5 (-112) | CHI +154PHI -185 |
View Week 2–3 current-model historical replays ↗
Table team order follows VegasInsider, not home/away order. Lines from a later sportsbook snapshot can differ from locked DraftKings lines; do not use a mismatched spread or total to price a historical bet.
Highest-probability model predictions
15 Games · 0 Locked Predictions
ThuThu, Nov 5, 7:15 PM CST
JAX4-2-0@
BAL4-3-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
JAX4-2-0@
BAL4-3-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 8:30 AM CST
CIN4-2-0@
ATL3-4-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
CIN4-2-0@
ATL3-4-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CST
DAL3-4-0@
IND2-5-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
DAL3-4-0@
IND2-5-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CST
NYJ2-5-0@
KC5-1-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
NYJ2-5-0@
KC5-1-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CST
DET4-2-0@
MIA1-5-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
DET4-2-0@
MIA1-5-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CST
CLE5-2-0@
NO2-5-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
CLE5-2-0@
NO2-5-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CST
NYG4-2-1@
PHI2-5-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
NYG4-2-1@
PHI2-5-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CST
LAR3-4-0@
WSH1-4-1WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
LAR3-4-0@
WSH1-4-1Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CST
DEN5-2-0@
CAR3-3-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
DEN5-2-0@
CAR3-3-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 3:05 PM CST
HOU2-5-0@
LAC0-6-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
HOU2-5-0@
LAC0-6-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST
GB4-3-0@
NE4-3-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
GB4-3-0@
NE4-3-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST
LV3-4-0@
SF6-1-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
LV3-4-0@
SF6-1-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST
ARI2-5-0@
SEA4-3-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
ARI2-5-0@
SEA4-3-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
SunSun, Nov 8, 7:20 PM CST
TB2-5-0@
CHI5-2-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
TB2-5-0@
CHI5-2-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.
MonMon, Nov 9, 7:15 PM CST
BUF5-1-0@
MIN6-0-0WIN PROBABILITY—FINAL SCORE0–0POINT SPREAD—OVER / UNDER—TOP PICK——
BUF5-1-0@
MIN6-0-0Historical schedule entry. No verified pregame prediction is available for this game.